Balkan Barbecue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 24
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 1310 | 35% | 2026-09-29 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2026-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 990 | 60% | 2023-09-11 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1117 | 47% | 2021-01-16 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1132 | 42% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2014-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 1999-07-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 1999-04-17 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1185 | 27% | 1997-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.9 vs 1091.9 has a 43.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).