Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (5 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 959 | 53% | 2015-10-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 2002-05-24 | Won |
| 1003 | 835 | 72% | 1998-12-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1225 | 37% | 1997-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1022.6 has a 53.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).