Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (6 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 949 | 55% | 2015-10-14 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1062 | 44% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1092 | 53% | 2002-05-24 | Won |
| 1062 | 845 | 78% | 1998-12-05 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1186 | 45% | 1998-06-27 | Won |
| 1111 | 1231 | 33% | 1997-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1060.8 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).