Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (6 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2015-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2015-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2002-05-24 | | Won |
| 1029 | 876 | 71% | 1998-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1998-06-27 | | Won |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 1997-07-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 977.8 has a 60.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).