The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1027 | 39% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 992 | 55% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1034 | 1123 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 982 | 1050 | 40% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1114 | 1416 | 15% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 927 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1152 | 30% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
| 1186 | 1177 | 51% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1016.7 vs 1109.4 has a 36.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).