The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1141 | 32% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 1028 | 39% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 992 | 58% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 998 | 1017 | 47% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1119 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1111 | 48% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 971 | 1052 | 39% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1114 | 1413 | 15% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1208 | 1113 | 63% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 927 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1151 | 30% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1189 | 36% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1112.9 has a 36.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).