Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1264 | 19% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1005 | 52% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 949 | 59% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1037 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 950 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1127 | 30% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 968 | 1019 | 43% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 918 | 66% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1093 | 67% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 952 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1132 | 1219 | 38% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 1058 | 932 | 67% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 697 | 1140 | 7% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1264 | 28% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1264 | 28% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1074.6 has a 44.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).