Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1217 | 23% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 805 | 78% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1038 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 913 | 1020 | 35% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1141 | 28% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 946 | 864 | 62% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1009 | 44% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 917 | 62% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1183 | 1075 | 65% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 953 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1131 | 1183 | 43% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 1055 | 931 | 67% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 693 | 1060 | 11% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1107 | 48% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1217 | 34% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1217 | 34% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1052.4 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).