Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1220 | 25% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 938 | 62% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 932 | 61% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1038 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 887 | 1020 | 32% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 961 | 1122 | 28% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 965 | 1006 | 44% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 915 | 65% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1064 | 1069 | 49% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 953 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1131 | 1064 | 60% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 1134 | 931 | 76% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 694 | 1040 | 12% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1102 | 49% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1220 | 34% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1220 | 34% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1045.8 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).