Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1054 | 39% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1062 | 49% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1064 | 65% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 1164 | 14% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 889 | 77% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 975 | 42% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 967 | 59% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1287 | 1252 | 55% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1006 | 1184 | 26% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 1077 | 54% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1065 | 59% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1098 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1043.1 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).