Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1063 | 66% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 858 | 1153 | 15% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 927 | 73% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 938 | 47% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 971 | 59% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1015 | 1139 | 33% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 1077 | 54% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1028 | 64% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1099 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1048.2 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).