Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (15 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
1149 | 1061 | 62% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
853 | 1157 | 15% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
1106 | 952 | 71% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
916 | 930 | 48% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
910 | 1219 | 14% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
1033 | 911 | 67% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
1285 | 1316 | 46% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
1015 | 1217 | 24% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1094 | 1076 | 53% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1114 | 697 | 92% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
1134 | 1029 | 65% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
938 | 1099 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1052 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).