Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1083 | 54% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1062 | 65% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 858 | 1128 | 17% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 970 | 69% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 916 | 905 | 52% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 909 | 67% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1285 | 1313 | 46% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1015 | 1213 | 24% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1078 | 53% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1037 | 63% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 1099 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1041.3 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).