Stalin's Shadow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (12 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2019-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 695 | 90% | 2010-02-20 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-02-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2008-04-26 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2006-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2006-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2005-01-29 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1020.4 has a 54.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).