Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1162 | 28% | 2022-05-28 | | Lost |
| 959 | 964 | 49% | 2021-05-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-06-14 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-07-01 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1052 | 68% | 2011-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 832 | 77% | 2003-10-18 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1007.4 vs 1026.4 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).