Raiders at Regi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 61
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1011 | 51% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1031 | 52% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 1059 | 38% | 2013-07-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 914 | 1047 | 32% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1151 | 31% | 2004-10-10 | Lost |
| 914 | 1068 | 29% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1067 | 50% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1206 | 28% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2004-07-05 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 1999-09-15 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 1999-09-15 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 1999-06-21 | Lost |
| 1010 | 892 | 66% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1047 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1065.5 has a 43.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).