Raiders at Regi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 61
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 976 | 61% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1033 | 55% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 924 | 1073 | 30% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1059 | 40% | 2013-07-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 1019 | 35% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 990 | 1140 | 30% | 2004-10-10 | Lost |
| 925 | 1060 | 31% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2004-07-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 1109 | 60% | 1999-09-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1182 | 40% | 1999-09-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 1999-06-21 | Lost |
| 1077 | 892 | 74% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1017 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.2 vs 1052.6 has a 45.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).