Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 180 (34 on the archive and 146 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 83
Defender wins (Russian): 97
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 925 | 981 | 42% | 2026-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1150 | 32% | 2024-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-08-20 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-04-26 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1138 | 20% | 2022-09-17 | | Won |
| 933 | 1017 | 38% | 2021-12-06 | | Won |
| 1289 | 728 | 96% | 2020-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 839 | 78% | 2020-08-09 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1131 | 71% | 2016-11-11 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-11-02 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2015-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-11-22 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2014-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-02-06 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2009-11-19 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2007-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2004-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2004-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2004-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2003-11-28 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2003-11-28 | | Won |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2001-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 1999-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 1999-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 1999-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 1997-06-17 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1996-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1009 has a 55.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).