Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1189 | 28% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1152 | 51% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 912 | 1242 | 13% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 1268 | 747 | 95% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
| 1118 | 840 | 83% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1125 | 51% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 764 | 77% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 942 | 47% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1044 | 59% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1050 | 52% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 1066 | 48% | 2003-11-28 | Won |
| 827 | 972 | 30% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1064 | 46% | 1999-08-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 1064 | 63% | 1999-05-29 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 1999-03-28 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 1997-06-17 | Won |
| 1036 | 923 | 66% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1011 has a 58.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).