An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (26 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1041 | 47% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 935 | 69% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 997 | 39% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1036 | 60% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1220 | 16% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1220 | 16% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1061 | 39% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 987 | 897 | 63% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1146 | 18% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1044 | 40% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 1044 | 42% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1004 | 66% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1115 | 1123 | 49% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1036 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 995.2 vs 1051.7 has a 41.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).