Forest Fighting in Latvia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
| 968 | 903 | 59% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2022-05-24 | Won |
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2019-09-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 903 | 62% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1036 | 56% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1219 | 23% | 2018-02-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2017-09-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1054 | 62% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1003 | 55% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 956 | 70% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1070 | 41% | 2012-06-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1190 | 67% | 2011-11-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1094 | 38% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2008-12-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 999 | 52% | 2008-02-03 | Lost |
| 977 | 1011 | 45% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 1136 | 856 | 83% | 2000-10-05 | Tied |
| 1196 | 1116 | 61% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 1999-05-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1041.6 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).