A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1081 | 53% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 1058 | 1063 | 49% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 1999-11-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1079 | 43% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 863 | 72% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 985 vs 1047.6 has a 41.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).