A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1082 | 52% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 1093 | 1139 | 43% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1999-11-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1068 | 44% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 863 | 72% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 992.2 vs 1060.8 has a 40.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).