The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (15 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1027 | 50% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 956 | 56% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 1204 | 32% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 941 | 922 | 53% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1423 | 985 | 93% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 1123 | 42% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1256 | 21% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 1253 | 24% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1117 | 51% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1255 | 22% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1255 | 1017 | 80% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1041 | 72% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1303 | 1173 | 68% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1113.5 vs 1091.6 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).