The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1248 | 28% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1027 | 59% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 903 | 957 | 42% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 856 | 922 | 41% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1412 | 974 | 93% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1257 | 20% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1310 | 20% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 1189 | 27% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1012 | 73% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1116 | 61% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1254 | 1136 | 66% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1094.2 has a 48.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).