Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2025-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2025-09-13 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-10-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | | Won |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2008-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2007-11-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2007-09-09 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2007-09-07 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2007-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2006-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2006-02-15 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2006-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2004-12-02 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1008.2 has a 62.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).