Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (16 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1046 | 47% | 2025-09-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 906 | 972 | 41% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 927 | 904 | 53% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1423 | 1172 | 81% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1423 | 1073 | 88% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1068 | 75% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2006-02-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2006-01-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1089 vs 1031.7 has a 58.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).