Loonies and Leicesters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/Canadian): 31
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1318 | 1234 | 62% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 913 | 1038 | 33% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1060 | 59% | 2010-04-25 | Won |
| 1054 | 1159 | 35% | 2009-01-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1233 | 28% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2007-05-11 | Won |
| 1076 | 917 | 71% | 2006-07-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1175 | 25% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2005-11-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2005-11-14 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1050 | 52% | 2005-07-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1097 | 45% | 2004-11-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.6 vs 1079.2 has a 51.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).