Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (Chinese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-09-22 | | Won |
| 992 | 1007 | 48% | 2020-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-01-06 | | Won |
| 1108 | 968 | 69% | 2013-11-24 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2012-10-25 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1011 | 60% | 2010-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1099 | 51% | 2009-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 734 | 92% | 2009-04-25 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2007-09-27 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1052 | 63% | 2007-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1263 | 25% | 2007-08-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2005-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2004-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2004-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 938 | 70% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1037.9 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).