Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (18 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 46
Defender wins (Chinese): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 976 | 69% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2023-09-22 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1107 | 968 | 69% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1183 | 32% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 889 | 1056 | 28% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
| 1089 | 1026 | 59% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1007 | 739 | 82% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1195 | 22% | 2007-09-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 1051 | 64% | 2007-09-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1093 | 46% | 2005-04-16 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 2004-12-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
| 1104 | 940 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1032.9 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).