Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (19 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 47
Defender wins (Chinese): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 976 | 66% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 995 | 55% | 2023-09-22 | Won |
| 992 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-06-24 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 968 | 69% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1185 | 24% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 864 | 1085 | 22% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
| 1080 | 1014 | 59% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1111 | 49% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 955 | 750 | 76% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1167 | 28% | 2007-09-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 1051 | 63% | 2007-09-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1264 | 23% | 2007-08-09 | Won |
| 1069 | 1023 | 57% | 2005-04-16 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2004-12-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1019 | 52% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 930 | 65% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1038.3 has a 50.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).