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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 996 | 57% | 2025-05-22 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1058 | 55% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2010-09-24 | Lost |
| 918 | 979 | 41% | 2008-05-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1256 | 51% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 913 | 71% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1055.5 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).