Dernier Baroud
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (4 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French / British): 15
Defender wins (German): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French / British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2024-04-14 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2008-03-02 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2002-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 866 | 84% | 1996-02-10 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 967.5 has a 61.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).