Unhappy Trails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 1034 | 70% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1143 | 963 | 74% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-03-21 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1098 | 63% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-07-31 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1152 | 49% | 2001-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1068.3 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).