First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 1018 | 74% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1180 | 1174 | 51% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1024 | 941 | 62% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 1117 | 35% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 878 | 1031 | 29% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1209 | 28% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1089 | 1140 | 43% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1096.3 has a 45.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).