First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1046 | 69% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 1137 | 61% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 901 | 70% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1078 | 39% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 879 | 1031 | 29% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 1208 | 36% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1151 | 41% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.6 vs 1087.9 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).