First Crack at Hellzapoppin' Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1170 | 45% | 2021-07-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 994 | 53% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1220 | 48% | 2018-09-05 | Won |
| 947 | 1131 | 26% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1052 | 62% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1149 | 862 | 84% | 2008-05-02 | Won |
| 1263 | 1048 | 78% | 2007-10-02 | Won |
| 967 | 1209 | 20% | 2005-08-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2004-07-17 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2003-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1087.2 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).