First Crack at Hellzapoppin' Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1182 | 40% | 2021-07-18 | Won |
| 1045 | 994 | 57% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1256 | 40% | 2018-09-05 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1072 | 59% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1035 | 81% | 2007-10-02 | Won |
| 1041 | 1209 | 28% | 2005-08-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1129 | 56% | 2004-07-17 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2003-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1113.4 has a 45.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).