First Crack at Hellzapoppin' Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1157 | 47% | 2021-07-18 | | Won |
| 1078 | 994 | 62% | 2019-11-09 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1243 | 44% | 2018-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2016-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 862 | 84% | 2008-05-02 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1044 | 78% | 2007-10-02 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1209 | 27% | 2005-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1000 | 67% | 2004-07-17 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2003-09-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1081 vs 1072 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).