First Crack at Hellzapoppin' Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (9 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1196 | 38% | 2021-07-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 994 | 56% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1192 | 43% | 2018-09-05 | Won |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1098 | 55% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1208 | 30% | 2005-08-01 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1147 | 45% | 2004-07-17 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2003-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1122.6 has a 39.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).