Erstwhile Allies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (10 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Vichy French): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 913 | 1019 | 35% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 907 | 1061 | 29% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 951 | 785 | 72% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 1405 | 920 | 94% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 948 | 69% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
| 985 | 974 | 52% | 2007-03-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1081 | 47% | 2005-10-30 | Won |
| 1153 | 1147 | 51% | 2005-10-28 | Won |
| 1209 | 859 | 88% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 977 has a 62.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).