Erstwhile Allies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (10 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Vichy French): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1013 | 42% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 907 | 1063 | 29% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 776 | 80% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 1419 | 920 | 95% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1107 | 948 | 71% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
| 985 | 974 | 52% | 2007-03-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1083 | 56% | 2005-10-30 | Won |
| 1163 | 1160 | 50% | 2005-10-28 | Won |
| 1216 | 841 | 90% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 975.4 has a 65.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).