Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (7 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 998 | 70% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 1009 | 60% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 1030 | 1101 | 40% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 968 | 1143 | 27% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 968 | 55% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1212 | 40% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1073 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).