Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (7 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 982 | 69% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1066 | 1008 | 58% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 1072 | 1100 | 46% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1024 | 1143 | 34% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 1056 | 1079 | 47% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1211 | 40% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1078.1 has a 48.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).