The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1135 | 48% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1024 | 963 | 59% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1080 | 951 | 68% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 978 | 56% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 1100 | 30% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 1049 | 36% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1282 | 34% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1204 | 1217 | 48% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1194 | 1013 | 74% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1011 | 60% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1216 | 25% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1064 | 51% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 969 | 69% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1078 | 1049 | 54% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 1146 | 62% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1012 | 60% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1036 | 53% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1021 | 47% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1100 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1068 | 38% | 2006-11-24 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1035 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1080 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).