ASL Scenario Archive

The Yelnya Bridge

Games with no balance used/recorded: 38

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22

Defender wins (Russian): 16

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1118	1135	48%	2025-04-04	Won
998	1145	30%	2024-08-08	Lost
1041	963	61%	2023-11-16	Won
1065	951	66%	2023-08-28	Won
1127	1105	53%	2023-01-27	Won
1043	978	59%	2022-02-17	Lost
1096	1333	20%	2021-10-20	Lost
953	1151	24%	2021-02-09	Lost
949	741	77%	2021-01-23	Lost
1165	1256	37%	2020-12-12	Lost
953	968	48%	2018-10-14	Won
1163	1219	42%	2018-03-11	Won
1193	1219	46%	2018-03-11	Won
1203	1013	75%	2018-01-14	Lost
1065	977	62%	2015-04-03	Lost
1065	1011	58%	2014-10-07	Lost
1008	1210	24%	2014-09-26	Won
1060	1056	51%	2013-07-15	Lost
1081	1117	45%	2013-06-18	Won
1092	1064	54%	2013-03-09	Won
1096	969	68%	2012-05-22	Won
1029	1011	53%	2011-02-26	Won
1065	741	87%	2010-09-03	Won
976	976	50%	2009-03-02	Won
1228	1146	62%	2008-10-26	Lost
1050	1012	55%	2008-10-07	Lost
1133	1228	37%	2008-09-11	Lost
1039	1037	50%	2008-01-15	Won
937	1021	38%	2007-11-11	Lost
1075	1041	55%	2007-07-16	Won
1014	1065	43%	2007-02-16	Won
981	1100	34%	2007-01-20	Lost
984	1063	39%	2006-11-24	Lost
1100	1095	51%	2006-10-19	Won
1100	1095	51%	2006-10-19	Won
1095	1100	49%	2006-10-12	Won
1095	1100	49%	2006-10-03	Won
969	1035	41%	2006-09-19	Won

Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1064.4 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).