Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1086 | 985 | 64% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
| 1079 | 978 | 64% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1004 | 1092 | 38% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1152 | 916 | 80% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 1019 | 890 | 68% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2006-12-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1086 | 54% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 987 | 1025 | 45% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2006-04-21 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1042.8 has a 54.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).