Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (10 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1037 | 985 | 57% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
997 | 997 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1131 | 916 | 78% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
992 | 889 | 64% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
988 | 1013 | 46% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2006-04-21 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1003.7 has a 56.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).