Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Romanian): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1152 | 40% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1165 | 48% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 917 | 999 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1132 | 1041 | 63% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1132 | 37% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 929 | 1058 | 32% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1095.6 has a 44.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).