Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Romanian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 962 | 63% | 2026-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1008 | 68% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1099 | 27% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1022.2 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).