Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1117 | 47% | 2026-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2021-01-07 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-12-30 | | Won |
| 954 | 999 | 44% | 2018-11-25 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1343 | 16% | 2010-11-12 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1063.7 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).