Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (8 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2024-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2024-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1060 | 61% | 2024-09-14 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2024-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2010-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2007-07-06 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2007-06-27 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1088 | 65% | 2006-10-27 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1094.9 has a 38.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).