Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (18 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 964 | 63% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1242 | 23% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 920 | 1039 | 34% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1136 | 49% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 920 | 77% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 977 | 65% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1151 | 50% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 901 | 1026 | 33% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1016 | 77% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1098 | 38% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1310 | 28% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1412 | 36% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1056 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1107.4 has a 44.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).