Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (18 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 965 | 63% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 956 | 1002 | 43% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1072 | 1243 | 27% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 1039 | 33% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1136 | 49% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 916 | 78% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 977 | 65% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1112 | 56% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 1026 | 33% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1015 | 77% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1061 | 52% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 993 | 1100 | 35% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1313 | 28% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1413 | 36% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1058 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1100.1 has a 46.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).