Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1253 | 30% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 984 | 1039 | 42% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1136 | 51% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 902 | 1083 | 26% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 984 | 70% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 976 | 58% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1055 | 84% | 2010-11-12 | Lost |
| 905 | 1077 | 27% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1233 | 1017 | 78% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 972 | 1101 | 32% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1231 | 40% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1434 | 24% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1056 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1084.7 vs 1089.8 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).