Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 966 | 57% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1105 | 1253 | 30% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 950 | 1021 | 40% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1136 | 49% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 930 | 1058 | 32% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 950 | 74% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1157 | 41% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 904 | 1045 | 31% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1018 | 77% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 972 | 1101 | 32% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1253 | 35% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1423 | 27% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1057 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1094.7 has a 45.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).