Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1097 | 53% | 2024-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-04-26 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2011-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2009-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2009-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2009-02-01 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1062 | 46% | 2008-07-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2008-05-30 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1219 | 78% | 2007-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2007-01-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1087.5 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).