Vossenack Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (19 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (American): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2012-03-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
| 913 | 1009 | 37% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 871 | 72% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1280 | 46% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 996 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1179 | 52% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 982 | 990 | 49% | 2008-08-09 | Lost |
| 985 | 992 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2008-01-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2008-01-22 | Won |
| 1073 | 1022 | 57% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1079 | 49% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 812 | 1134 | 14% | 2007-04-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1033 | 48% | 2007-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1031.9 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).