Vossenack Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (23 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (American): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 997 | 42% | 2026-06-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1057 | 52% | 2026-06-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1161 | 31% | 2026-06-26 | Won |
| 786 | 997 | 23% | 2023-11-19 | Tied |
| 969 | 975 | 49% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1077 | 953 | 67% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2012-03-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1073 | 37% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 866 | 75% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 922 | 1434 | 5% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1155 | 59% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1204 | 53% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 996 | 997 | 50% | 2008-08-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 862 | 84% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-01-22 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-01-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2007-04-24 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1108 | 62% | 2007-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1057 has a 48.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).