Vossenack Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (19 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (American): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 786 | 983 | 24% | 2023-11-19 | Tied |
| 973 | 965 | 51% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 954 | 66% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1045 | 50% | 2012-03-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1062 | 39% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 866 | 76% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 932 | 1423 | 6% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1147 | 65% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1208 | 46% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 996 | 997 | 50% | 2008-08-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 923 | 74% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-01-22 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-01-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2007-04-24 | Lost |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2007-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1054.4 has a 48.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).