Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1025 | 56% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 895 | 969 | 40% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1039 | 54% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1130 | 991 | 69% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1149 | 49% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1141 | 52% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1060 | 52% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1061 | 63% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1035 | 46% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1136 | 904 | 79% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1120 | 986 | 68% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 914 | 1218 | 15% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 918 | 1029 | 35% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1194 | 66% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1067.3 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).