Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (23 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 77
Defender wins (Italian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1049 | 1013 | 55% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
1080 | 1030 | 57% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
1047 | 1043 | 51% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
1063 | 1057 | 51% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
983 | 953 | 54% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
1175 | 998 | 73% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
1145 | 1059 | 62% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1071 | 1065 | 51% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
1065 | 919 | 70% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
1070 | 1014 | 58% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
989 | 1063 | 40% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
950 | 1003 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
1172 | 1333 | 28% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
949 | 1037 | 38% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
986 | 994 | 49% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
844 | 1145 | 15% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
1028 | 1165 | 31% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1053.7 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).