Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (26 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 77
Defender wins (Italian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1022 | 55% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1217 | 998 | 78% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 984 | 1060 | 39% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 909 | 60% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1107 | 51% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1176 | 1070 | 65% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
| 1215 | 1050 | 72% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1129 | 44% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 906 | 73% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1015 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 1011 | 54% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
| 989 | 1065 | 39% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 950 | 1004 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1251 | 40% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1038 | 42% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 969 | 56% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1150 | 50% | 2007-10-23 | Lost |
| 843 | 1215 | 11% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 1167 | 32% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1052.2 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).