Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (23 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 77
Defender wins (Italian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 993 | 48% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1022 | 55% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1048 | 1059 | 48% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 962 | 53% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1108 | 51% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1176 | 1061 | 66% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
| 1245 | 1059 | 74% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1083 | 1117 | 45% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 920 | 72% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1015 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1059 | 1012 | 57% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
| 989 | 1064 | 39% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1232 | 41% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
| 956 | 1038 | 38% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
| 843 | 1245 | 9% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1167 | 31% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1049.5 has a 48.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).