Out of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (16 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 959 | 55% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 959 | 1274 | 14% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2023-02-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 1004 | 48% | 2020-01-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 994 | 45% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2017-09-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 877 | 62% | 2016-08-24 | Tied |
| 1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1149 | 28% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1019 | 871 | 70% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1042.4 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).