The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1060 | 57% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2022-11-08 | Won |
| 891 | 964 | 40% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 980 | 58% | 2017-10-29 | Lost |
| 949 | 1010 | 41% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1012 | 55% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1039 | 51% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1099 | 44% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2007-11-04 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1045 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).