Through Fire And Ice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (11 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 851 | 70% | 2023-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 953 | 83% | 2011-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2011-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2011-05-22 | | Won |
| 1329 | 1167 | 72% | 2010-03-19 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1208 | 22% | 2009-05-23 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2008-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1183 | 43% | 2008-11-16 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2007-09-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1103.9 vs 1086 has a 52.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).