Through Fire And Ice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (11 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (Finnish): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 850 | 70% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 975 | 81% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1100 | 68% | 2011-05-22 | Won |
| 1294 | 1159 | 69% | 2010-03-19 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1235 | 22% | 2009-05-23 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2008-11-24 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1136 | 43% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1011 | 68% | 2007-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1112.1 vs 1086.4 has a 53.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).