About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1044 | 48% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1022 | 46% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1167 | 53% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1046 | 49% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1413 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 856 | 998 | 31% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1036 | 68% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1152 | 996 | 71% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1163 | 1114 | 57% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 958 | 1036 | 39% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1115 | 1195 | 39% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1158 | 33% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1158 | 1028 | 68% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1090 | 992 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1095.6 has a 41.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).