About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1014 | 55% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 996 | 1041 | 44% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 983 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1222 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1220 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1048 | 49% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 956 | 1413 | 7% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1097 | 44% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 855 | 998 | 31% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1066 | 41% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1029 | 67% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1011 | 68% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1153 | 1112 | 56% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 707 | 1140 | 8% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 958 | 1057 | 36% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1104 | 1188 | 38% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1189 | 29% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 1027 | 72% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1079 | 992 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1100.9 has a 40.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).