About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (30 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 65
Defender wins (German): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 992 | 83% | 2026-02-07 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-02-27 | | Won |
| 999 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-11-14 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1017 | 52% | 2023-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-03-30 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2020-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1010 | 49% | 2018-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2017-10-11 | | Won |
| 943 | 1435 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | | Won |
| 990 | 1263 | 17% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2015-06-18 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2015-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2014-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1029 | 66% | 2011-11-12 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1120 | 51% | 2011-10-24 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 1031 | 49% | 2010-05-23 | | Won |
| 915 | 1056 | 31% | 2009-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-03-07 | | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-07-23 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2008-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1209 | 23% | 2008-05-23 | | Won |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2007-10-23 | | Won |
| 1086 | 992 | 63% | | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1074.8 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).