About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 1004 | 83% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1081 | 39% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 1013 | 1028 | 48% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1227 | 44% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1053 | 48% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 942 | 1423 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1282 | 16% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1096 | 46% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 855 | 891 | 45% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1036 | 57% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1011 | 68% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1068 | 44% | 2010-05-23 | Won |
| 917 | 1065 | 30% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1228 | 1018 | 77% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 992 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1100.3 has a 41.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).