About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (30 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 65
Defender wins (German): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 988 | 56% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 960 | 71% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1228 | 29% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1216 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1019 | 53% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 943 | 1434 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1263 | 17% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1092 | 48% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 855 | 956 | 36% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1051 | 51% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1071 | 54% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1036 | 63% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1060 | 45% | 2010-05-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1077 | 28% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1109 | 1197 | 38% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1174 | 29% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1174 | 1019 | 71% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 992 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1096.2 has a 42.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).