Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (26 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2021-02-01 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1132 | 42% | 2020-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2019-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1004 | 63% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 930 | 893 | 55% | 2018-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-06-06 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1031 | 48% | 2017-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2016-12-07 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-12-04 | | Won |
| 1040 | 846 | 75% | 2016-11-04 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | | Lost |
| 898 | 919 | 47% | 2016-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2016-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2015-12-22 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1031 | 60% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2013-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2012-09-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-01-19 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1052 | 63% | 2007-10-02 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2006-10-23 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1070 | 31% | | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1013.1 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).