Diabolical Shrapnel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2021-06-28 | Won |
| 904 | 982 | 39% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 944 | 950 | 49% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 974 | 985 | 48% | 2017-02-08 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2012-11-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 1018 | 71% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 891 | 1243 | 12% | 2007-10-28 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 972.6 vs 1048.7 has a 39.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).