The Grist Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (NKPA): 2
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1019 | 37% | 2021-09-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1054 | 38% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 1040 | 930 | 65% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2018-04-23 | Lost |
| 957 | 1238 | 17% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1030 vs 1034.2 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).