The Grist Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (7 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (NKPA): 3
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 1186 | 49% | 2026-07-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2021-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-10-08 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2018-04-29 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1057 | 40% | 2018-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1176 | 27% | 2007-03-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1073.7 has a 45.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).