No Fortress Is Impregnable
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2024-03-08 | | Won |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2022-08-30 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2018-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2018-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2017-09-09 | | Won |
| 1196 | 938 | 82% | 2013-10-11 | | Won |
| 1263 | 944 | 86% | 2012-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2010-08-21 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1103.5 vs 1030.3 has a 60.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).