Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1025 | 51% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2022-11-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 989 | 49% | 2022-02-22 | Lost |
| 1075 | 954 | 67% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 1066 | 34% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 958 | 1256 | 15% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 882 | 1174 | 16% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 968 | 70% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1067 | 1153 | 38% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2011-02-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 1078 | 35% | 2010-04-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1078 | 35% | 2010-03-25 | Won |
| 1089 | 878 | 77% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-06-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2008-05-27 | Tied |
| 973 | 1038 | 41% | 2008-02-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 933 | 67% | 2008-01-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 1117 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1041.7 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).