Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 957 | 56% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 962 | 882 | 61% | 2022-11-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 991 | 49% | 2022-02-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1008 | 62% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 929 | 1067 | 31% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 903 | 1251 | 12% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 1136 | 22% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1066 | 1154 | 38% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 899 | 952 | 42% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-02-03 | Won |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 940 | 70% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2010-04-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2010-03-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 878 | 82% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-06-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2008-05-27 | Tied |
| 1043 | 933 | 65% | 2008-01-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 1117 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1047.1 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).