Khopka's Crossing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (17 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 59
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2019-05-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 878 | 82% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1248 | 968 | 83% | 2017-07-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1228 | 20% | 2014-07-18 | Lost |
| 995 | 1066 | 40% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 879 | 74% | 2013-06-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2008-06-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-04-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-04-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1146 | 35% | 2008-03-01 | Lost |
| 899 | 1087 | 25% | 2008-02-17 | Won |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2006-04-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1056.4 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).