Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (16 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Chinese): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 870 | 50% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1066 | 44% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1048 | 60% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1238 | 1079 | 71% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 852 | 960 | 35% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 831 | 1223 | 9% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1025 | 56% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1121 | 960 | 72% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1055 | 79% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1181 | 1000 | 74% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1015 | 58% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1035.5 has a 54.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).