Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (18 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 35
Defender wins (Chinese): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 924 | 44% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 1042 | 42% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1084 | 54% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1090 | 48% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1196 | 1079 | 66% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 854 | 919 | 41% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 794 | 1226 | 8% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1019 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1073 | 962 | 65% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2009-04-27 | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2008-02-26 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1056 | 84% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1046.7 has a 51.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).