Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Chinese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2024-11-05 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1042 | 42% | 2024-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1053 | 42% | 2023-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-09-27 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2019-10-31 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-06-14 | | Won |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2016-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-04-23 | | Won |
| 808 | 1226 | 8% | 2016-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-05-14 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1041 | 76% | 2010-11-07 | | Won |
| 1109 | 970 | 69% | 2009-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2008-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 959 | 90% | 2008-02-10 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2008-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2008-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1046.3 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).