Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (21 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 37
Defender wins (Chinese): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 869 | 924 | 42% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 1042 | 42% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 967 | 1091 | 33% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1136 | 58% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 853 | 884 | 46% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1263 | 19% | 2016-04-23 | Won |
| 786 | 1226 | 7% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1020 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1263 | 1040 | 78% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 970 | 60% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1121 | 41% | 2009-04-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-02-26 | Lost |
| 1347 | 959 | 90% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1066.3 has a 47.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).