Tough As Nails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1066 | 39% | 2025-02-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1119 | 38% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1219 | 1097 | 67% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
| 1248 | 841 | 91% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1016 | 1236 | 22% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 994 | 1154 | 28% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 867 | 62% | 2014-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1098 | 37% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1063.2 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).