Tough As Nails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2025-02-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 1119 | 34% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1221 | 1094 | 68% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
| 1153 | 828 | 87% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1216 | 23% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1067 | 1067 | 50% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1100 | 32% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 887 | 869 | 53% | 2014-03-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1054.1 has a 47.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).