Morning's Peril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (6 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 1176 | 21% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
1133 | 1172 | 44% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
987 | 1225 | 20% | 2016-08-28 | Lost |
1176 | 1089 | 62% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1076.7 has a 44.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).