Morning's Peril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (7 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 950 | 52% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 921 | 1141 | 22% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1142 | 52% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 1223 | 20% | 2016-08-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 697 | 91% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019 vs 1048.7 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).