A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (14 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1115 | 1159 | 44% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 1313 | 1229 | 62% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 968 | 921 | 57% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 1162 | 25% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1010 | 57% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 987 | 871 | 66% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1150 | 37% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 1273 | 19% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1107 | 999 | 65% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1085 | 985 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1066.1 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).