A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (14 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 1316 | 1229 | 62% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 970 | 920 | 57% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 970 | 1137 | 28% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 1045 | 41% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 871 | 68% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1155 | 40% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1272 | 20% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 985 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1070.9 has a 49.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).