The Bavent Recce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 11
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-08-14 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1055 | 60% | 2025-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 1000 | 84% | 2017-05-20 | | Won |
| 913 | 1000 | 38% | 2015-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1125 | 43% | 2010-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-02-01 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1028.5 has a 55.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).