Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (Polish): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1174 | 1054 | 67% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
1052 | 1109 | 42% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1147 | 1044 | 64% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
1030 | 1109 | 39% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1002 | 1314 | 14% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
930 | 1057 | 32% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1079 | 1152 | 40% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
977 | 1044 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
1130 | 1020 | 65% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1034 | 1132 | 36% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
1083 | 1064 | 53% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
1202 | 1107 | 63% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
987 | 993 | 49% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
989 | 1146 | 29% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
994 | 1182 | 25% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1104.4 has a 43.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).