Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1053 | 67% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1124 | 40% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1065 | 62% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1124 | 37% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1333 | 13% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
| 930 | 1057 | 32% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1152 | 40% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1036 | 59% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
| 978 | 1075 | 36% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 1020 | 65% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1075 | 43% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1132 | 36% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1123 | 44% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1106 | 63% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 960 | 992 | 45% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1142 | 29% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1112.1 has a 42.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).