Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Polish): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1173 | 1053 | 67% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
1145 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
1089 | 1106 | 48% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1017 | 1106 | 37% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1002 | 1310 | 15% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
930 | 1058 | 32% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1100 | 1037 | 59% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
976 | 1031 | 42% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
1020 | 1031 | 48% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1137 | 1018 | 66% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
1083 | 1116 | 45% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
1202 | 1110 | 63% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
1019 | 987 | 55% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
989 | 1141 | 29% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1100.1 has a 45.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).