Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1164 | 1221 | 42% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1221 | 50% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1221 | 993 | 79% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1193 | 36% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 926 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 945 | 55% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1223 | 979 | 80% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1117 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 958 | 998 | 44% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1102 | 51% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 979 | 1109 | 32% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1098.8 has a 48.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).