Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1187 | 1218 | 46% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1218 | 43% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1218 | 994 | 78% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1063 | 56% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 930 | 948 | 47% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2018-12-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 961 | 77% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1118 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 960 | 884 | 61% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 961 | 1040 | 39% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1095 vs 1070.4 has a 53.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).