Traverse Right ... Fire!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 2026-05-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 1043 | 47% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1043 | 47% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2019-03-02 | Tied |
| 1035 | 1083 | 43% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1123 | 56% | 2018-01-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1236 | 900 | 87% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1094 | 66% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 913 | 985 | 40% | 2011-02-04 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1044 | 73% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 1028 | 43% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2004-07-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1035.5 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).