Traverse Right ... Fire!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-12-06 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-03-02 | | Tied |
| 1035 | 1075 | 44% | 2018-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2018-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-07-09 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 901 | 86% | 2014-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2013-10-26 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2012-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2011-10-07 | | Lost |
| 913 | 985 | 40% | 2011-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1156 | 56% | 2011-01-22 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2009-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2009-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2004-07-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1030.2 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).